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0The wins by PSG and Dortmund in the opening matches have led to these clubs being rated higher than their rivals, Monaco and Atalanta respectively. It is expected that they will hold on to their leads to progress to the last 16.
This is the second consecutive season that PSG faces a fellow French team in the first knockout round. Last season, under Luis Enrique, they began their Champions League title campaign with two wins totaling a 10-0 aggregate over Brest. However, PSG’s quest to defend their title this season faces a tougher challenge as their knockout opponent is Monaco.
Nonetheless, the comeback at Stade Louis II reminded everyone why PSG still carries the traits of a European champion. Enrique’s squad secured their first Champions League knockout match win in over two decades after trailing by two goals. This gives them a crucial advantage returning to Parc des Princes tonight. PSG has remained unbeaten in eight of their last nine home matches. This bodes well for Enrique’s team to protect their lead. The biggest concern for PSG is how they will perform without Ousmane Dembele, who suffered a calf injury in the first leg and is unlikely to recover in time for tonight’s rematch. As for Monaco, they have been eliminated in their last three knockout ties and have not reached the Round of 16 since the 2016-17 season. It won’t be easy for Pocognoli’s side to overturn the deficit in Paris, despite having beaten PSG domestically this season.
Another team facing a tough challenge to turn things around is Atalanta. Their 0-2 defeat to Dortmund in Germany means Palladino’s squad must score at least three goals to keep their Champions League hopes alive. Atalanta’s problem lies in their contrasting performances between Serie A and Europe. Their unbeaten streak in the last 10 Serie A matches has lifted them to 7th place, just five points behind Roma in 4th. However, their European campaign is much worse, with three consecutive losses including the first leg against Dortmund and the final two qualifying round matches against Athletic Bilbao and Union Saint-Gilloise.
This form does not inspire much optimism for a comeback. If there is any hope for Atalanta tonight, it lies in Dortmund’s poor away record in this season’s Champions League. Niko Kovac’s team conceded four goals twice on the road, against Man City and Juventus. Still, Dortmund has the historical edge, having won 10 continental matches when holding a two-goal advantage from the first leg.