0
0Updated stats and match predictions for PSG vs Aston Villa, 02:00 today August 13, UEFA Super Cup 2026: The Champions League champions are favored, but Aston Villa can pose a tough challenge.
Win probability: PSG - 65.2% | Draw - 18.6% | Aston Villa - 16.2%
AS newspaper predicts: PSG 2-1 Aston Villa
Goal prediction: 3-4 goals, both teams likely to score.
Our prediction: PSG 2-1 Aston Villa
PSG is rated higher than Aston Villa thanks to squad quality, experience in big matches and the status of Champions League winners. The French team has many players capable of creating breakthroughs like Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Desire Doue, while maintaining ball control and sustained pressure.
Meanwhile, Aston Villa enters the match as Europa League champions. Unai Emery's team has pressing and quick transition abilities, but underwent a summer of significant squad changes. Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans have left, while Alejandro Garnacho and Joao Gomes are notable new signings.
The pre-season form of both teams has not been stable. PSG lost 0-3 to Mallorca and then drew 1-1 with Manchester United, while Aston Villa won 3 and lost 3 in 6 friendlies, most recently a 1-2 defeat to Bayern Munich. These results show both are not yet at their best.
Nevertheless, PSG still has reason to dominate thanks to the system built by coach Luis Enrique over a long period. Aston Villa can cause trouble with speed and transition, but if PSG controls the midfield well, the French side is likely to create more chances.
PSG enters the UEFA Super Cup as Champions League winners with the goal of adding another trophy to Luis Enrique's collection. The French team still possesses a fast attack with Dembele, Kvaratskhelia and Doue, while Vitinha, Joao Neves and Fabian Ruiz provide midfield control.
The French side didn't have a perfect warm-up, losing to Mallorca and drawing with Manchester United in their last two friendlies. However, these matches helped players regain match fitness after the break and allowed Luis Enrique to experiment with the lineup. PSG also has an impressive scoring streak, having found the net in 28 consecutive official matches.
Aston Villa is not an easy opponent to beat. Coach Unai Emery has built the team on pressing, tight organization and quick counter-attacks. The Europa League champions also strengthened their squad with Garnacho and Joao Gomes, adding speed and power to the lineup.
However, the squad changes mean Aston Villa needs more time to regain stability. The 1-2 loss to Bayern Munich in the latest friendly also shows the Premier League side still has some issues to resolve.
In the last two meetings, each team has one win, but PSG defeated Aston Villa 5-4 on aggregate in last season's Champions League quarterfinals. With superior experience and squad quality, PSG is expected to control the match and win by a narrow margin.